SOMA

Glossary

Safran Risk

An enterprise-grade schedule and cost risk analysis tool widely used on UK defence, nuclear and infrastructure programmes for Monte Carlo QRA against integrated Primavera P6 or Microsoft Project schedules.

Maintained by Adam O’NeillDirector, QRA SpecialistLast reviewed

Safran Risk is a specialist Monte Carlo risk analysis tool that operates against an imported Primavera P6 or Microsoft Project schedule. It supports integrated cost and schedule risk analysis (QCSRA), variability and event-risk modelling separately, correlation structures between activities and risks, and the production of tornado-chart sensitivity analysis alongside the headline P50/P80/P95 outputs. It is widely used on UK major programmes where rigorous QRA is a contractual or assurance requirement, particularly in defence, nuclear and rail.

Safran Risk's core strength is that it preserves the logic and resource structure of the source schedule during the simulation — so the Monte Carlo results reflect the actual network rather than a simplified abstraction. It handles large schedules well, supports scenario and sensitivity analysis, and integrates risk register data so that the link between the qualitative register and the quantitative model is explicit. For assurance purposes, this traceability is what allows a reviewer to test whether the QRA is consistent with the narrative risk register, rather than the two telling different stories.

Alternatives in the same category include Primavera Risk Analysis (formerly Pertmaster, now discontinued by Oracle), Acumen Risk (Deltek), @Risk (Palisade) and Riskalyze. The choice between them is typically driven by client preference, team expertise and the specific features required — Safran Risk leads on schedule-centric QRA on live P6 programmes; @Risk is stronger on pure cost-risk modelling; Acumen Risk integrates with the rest of the Acumen suite. SOMA practitioners are experienced across multiple tools and match the tool to the engagement context.

Used in practice

Need this on a live programme?

SOMA delivers this on live UK programmes — and trains teams in it. Where it fits:

Putting these techniques into practice?

SOMA provides independent project controls consultancy for UK programmes. We can help you apply QRA, EVM, schedule risk analysis, and more.